This article will show you the chances for each NFL team to make the playoffs for the 2018-2019 season. The chances are based on a 1-100% chance while accounting mathematically for seeding and divisional standings. This list is built on facts, but will also be weighed with opinions, seeing as to how this isn’t an exact science.
All final percentages will come as an average from my personal, off the top of my head opinion, the division win chance, and the chance that they’re one of six seeds.
*O = Opinion, D = Divisional, S = Seeding*
One more thing: Don’t be upset if your teams chance seems too low. Because there’s so much to account for in this, including injury possibility, star power, divisional power, strength of schedule, etc, some teams that I have going to the playoffs in my record predictions may be much lower than they should be.
1) New England Patriots (O = 85%, D = 97%, S = 95%) Total Chance: 92.3% New England’s T-1 seed and 1st overall divisional chance gives them the best %.
2) Los Angeles Rams (O = 86%, D = 61%, S = 91%) Total Chance: 79.3% Los Angeles’ 2nd best divisional chance gives them the 2nd best %.
3) Philidelphia Eagles (O = 89%, D = 55%, S = 93%) Total Chance: 79% Philadelphia’s 3rd best seed chance gives them the 3rd best %.
4) Minnesota Vikings (O = 90%, D = 50%, S = 94%) Total Chance: 78% Minnesota’s 1st overall opinion chance gives them the 4th best %.
5) Pittsburgh Steelers (O = 85%, D = 52%, S = 95%) Total Chance: 77.3% Pittsburg’s 4th best divisional and T-1 seed chance gives them the 5th best %.
6) New Orleans Saints (O = 88%, D = 46%, S = 87%) Total Chance: 73.6% New Orleans’ 6th best divisional chance gives them the 6th best %.
T-7) Jacksonville Jaguars (O = 88%, D = 40%, S = 90%) Total Chance: 72.6% Jacksonville’s 5th best seed chance gives them the T-7 best %.
T-7) Atlanta Falcons (O = 85%, D = 45%, S = 88%) Total Chance: 72.6 % Atlanta’s 4th best NFC seed chance gives them the T-7 best %.
9) Los Angeles Chargers (O = 81%, D = 37%, S = 79%) Total Chance: 65.6% Lost Angeles’ lowest division mark among division winners gives them the 8th best %.
10) Green Bay Packers (O = 77%, D = 30%, S = 83%) Total Chance: 63.3% Green Bay’s T-3 division chance among non division winners gives them the 9th best %.
11) Kansas City Chiefs (O = 70%, D = 30%, S = 72%) Total Chance: 57.3% Kansas City’s 1st AFC seed mark among non division winners gives them the 10th best %.
T-12) Houston Texans (O = 61%, D = 30%, S = 62%) Total Chance: 51% Houston’s 2nd best D% in their division gives them the T-11th best %.
T-12) Baltimore Ravens (O = 68%, D = 38%, S = 47%) Total Chance: 51% Baltimore’s 2nd best non division winner D% chance gives them the T-11th best %.
14) Washington Redskins (O = 64%, D = 21%, S = 50%) Total Chance: 45% Washington’s 8th best NFC seed chance gives them the 14th best %.
15) Denver Broncos (O = 54%, D = 19%, S = 53%) Total Chance: 42% Denver’s 8th best AFC opinion chance gives them the 15th best %.
16) Tennessee Titans (O = 45%, D = 28%, S = 50%) Total Chance: 41% Tennessee’s 9th best AFC division chance gives them the 16th best %.
17) Arizona Cardinals (O = 40%, D = 20%, S = 56%) Total Chance: 38.6% Arizona’s 7th best NFC S% gives them the 17th best %.
18) San Francisco 49ers (O = 52%, D = 11%, S = 41%) Total Chance: 34.6% San Francisco’s 18th best O% gives them the 18th best %.
19) Detroit Lions (O = 43%, D = 16%, S = 41%) Total Chance: 33.3% Detroit’s 4th best S% among 3rd place in division teams gives them the 19th best %.
20) Oakland Raiders (O = 39%, D = 18%, S = 42%) Total Chance: 33% Oakland’s 1st overall O% among 4th place in division teams gives them the 20th best %.
21) Carolina Panthers (O = 55%, D = 9%, S = 31%) Total Chance: 31.6% Carolina’s last NFC D% among 3rd place in division teams gives them the 21st best %.
22) New York Giants (O = 43%, D = 12%, S = 29%) Total Chance: 28% New York’s T-10th best O% in the NFC gives them the 22nd best %.
23) Dallas Cowboys (O = 37%, D = 12%, S = 34%) Total Chance: 27.6% Dallas’ best D% among last in division NFC teams gives them the 23rd best %.
24) Seattle Seahawks (O = 37%, D = 8%, S = 24%) Total Chance: 23% Seattle’s T-1st O% chance among last in division NFC teams gives them the 24th best %.
25) Buffalo Bills (O = 38%, D = 2%, S = 24%) Total Chance: 21.3% Buffalo’s 2nd best AFC East D% gives them the 25th best %.
26) Chicago Bears (O = 29%, D = 4%, S = 25%) Total Chance: 19.3% Chicago’s 5th best D% among last in division teams gives them the 26th best %.
27) Cincinnati Bengals (O = 22%, D = 5%, S = 25%) Total Chance: 17.3% Cincinnati’s 2nd best AFC S% among last in division teams gives them the 27th best %.
28) New York Jets (O = 21%, D = 1%, S = 20%) Total Chance: 14% New York’s 3rd best AFC East D% gives them the 28th best %.
29) Clevland Browns (O = 18%, D = 5%, S = 13%) Total Chance: 12% Clevland’s last-place S% among 3rd in division teams gives them the 29th best %.
30) Miami Dolphins (O = 14%, D = 0%, S = 11%) Total Chance: 8.3% Miami’s T-last D% in the NFL gives them the 30th best %.
31) Indianapolis Colts (O = 4%, D = 2%, S = 8%) Total Chance: 4.6% Indianapolis’ 2nd worst D% in the NFL gives them the 31st best %.
32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (O = 5%, D = 0%, S = 2%) Total Chance: 2.3% Tampa Bay’s T-last D% and last S% gives them the 32nd best %.