Garrett Cowdrey’s NFL Week 7 Pick Ems


Welcome to Week 7 of the NFL season. I am currently suffering from a case of Pick Ems PTSD, as for the third time in six weeks, I went completely dead even. I was 7-7, and as many have heard, I went 8-8 in both weeks 2 and 3. That doesn’t even account for the opening week, when I went 8-7. This mediocrity is torturous, and I can’t break away from it. Maybe this week will provide an easier path to get off the ground, but after six weeks of being unusually average, I am a little too scared to get my hopes high. Will Week 7 being the spark needed to make me look like I actually know what I’m doing? At this rate, probably not. However, my optimism is still alive (albeit on life support), and it is time to get into it.


New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals

Winner: Arizona Cardinals

Score: 23-17

Summary: These are two of the biggest oddballs in the league, the Saints due mainly to injury and bad luck, and the Cardinals due to poor coaching and early game trouble. These rosters don’t look typical of a matchup between 2-4 teams, but here we are. This should shape up to be a close matchup between two very desperate teams. Falling to 2-5 could be a death blow, and neither team wants that this early on. I expect the Saints running game to lead to a low scoring game, as they will likely manage the clock but continue to struggle to score and cap off drives. That will lead to the more high flying offense of the Cardinals to have a chance late in the game, and they will take it. Kyler Murray throws for 250 yards and 2 scores to get Arizona to 3-4, while Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave both score but the Saints lose another close game in heartbreaking fashion to fall to 2-5.


Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens

Winner: Baltimore Ravens

Score: 28-20

Summary: We see an AFC North matchup here in the early slot between two teams right in the thick of things and in need of a clutch win. The Ravens continue to be the biggest choke artists in the lead after giving up their third embarrassing comeback of the season, but the Browns aren’t much behind them in that regard. This could be quite a battle on the ground, as Chubb leads his team’s attack while Lamar Jackson himself could be the leading rusher for Baltimore. This will likely be a physical battle where no one gets too comfortable with their lead, but it will be Baltimore who finishes drives and hangs on here. Jackson throws two scores for the Ravens and runs one in himself, while Amari Cooper and Nick Chubb score in the loss as the Browns fall to 2-5.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

Winner: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Score: 27-14

Summary: Here we have an NFC South battle between two teams that have disappointed thus far in the season. The definition of disappointment is obviously different for these teams, but you get what I mean. Tom Brady’s inability to close out a game against the Kenny Pickett-led Steelers is the reason that I end up going 7-7 every week, then I am the one getting trashed when he’s the one that lost to the sorry team. I’m starting to think that this is unfair. I don’t see them having the same meltdown against this team. The Panthers are far and away the worst team in the league, and Brady manages a loss to them, he might as well cancel the divorce lawyer and hang the cleats up. I think they’ll rely on the air attack a lot early, as Brady eclipses 300 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Panthers struggle to generate much of anything, as McCaffrey’s 100 scrimmage yards and touchdown will be the only real source of happiness for this otherwise awful team. Brady avoids another temper tantrum as the Bucs move to 4-3, and I won’t even add on to the pain of Panthers fans by mentioning anything else.


Atlanta Falcons at Cincinnati Bengals

Winner: Cincinnati Bengals

Score: 31-27

Summary: The Bengals got a much needed win last week and now move on to a new NFC South opponent in the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are feisty, as evidenced by their resounding victory against a good 49ers team last week, and this will be no walk in the park for the Bengals. It will take a great performance by Burrow to ensure a Bengals win, and that is exactly what they’ll get. Burrow will throw for 400 yards and 3 touchdowns in this one, finding Ja’Marr Chase for two of them. Marcus Mariota will keep the momentum going after a great game last week with 250 all purpose yards and 2 touchdowns, but the Bengals will stay ahead by just enough all game long to fend off this Falcons team.


Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys

Winner: Dallas Cowboys

Score: 30-17

Summary: The Cowboys don’t have a concrete answer for their QB position as I am writing this, but I am going under the assumption that Dak Prescott starts for them on Sunday. This will be the return for Dak, who missed every game since Week 1 and saw his backup go 4-1 in his absence. Many believed that there could be a QB controversy brewing, but I don’t believe so. They’ll let Dak lead the charge as long as he can suit up and they’ll try to take down a Lions team trying to rebound after a bad start. The Lions have looked promising at times, but there have been far too many “Lions” moments for them to string anything together. Dak will be determined, and I don’t think the Lions will have enough to right the ship this week. Prescott throws for 250 yards and 2 touchdowns in the win, while Amon Ra St. Brown and D’Andre Swift bothscore for the Lions in another disappointing loss.


New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars

Winner: New York Giants

Score: 24-21

Summary: The Giants are 5-1, this is another example of the NFL being flipped on its head this year. Brian Daboll has his guys playing good football, and he is going in against another first year head coach in Doug Pederson. This should be a close matchup in my opinion, as these teams match up well against eachother. I can see this going either way, but I am going to stick with the hot hand here. The Giants keep finding ways to win, and I think they’ll do it again here. Saquon Barkley leads the charge with 150 total yards and two scores, while Trevor Lawrence has 200 yards and a score of his own. It will be a battle of the running game, as each of these teams will have over 200 yards on the ground. A Giants field goal in overtime will be the deciding factor here though. They move to 6-1 somehow while the Jaguars sink to 2-5 after a hot start.


Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

Winner: Tennessee Titans

Score: 28-21

Summary: Here we have another divisional matchup between two underperforming teams. That seems to be a common theme this week. Both of these teams come in with a chance to have an early lead in the AFC South, and this could be one of the biggest games of the year for these teams when it is all said and done. Neither team has done much to impress, but that doesn’t matter in divisional games. I think the difference maker in this game will be Derrick Henry. The Colts will likely be without Jonathan Taylor, and the absence of one superstar runningback without the other will be the reason this game ends in a Titans win. Henry will rush for 150 yards and 2 scores, while Matt Ryan throws for 300 yards in the losing effort as the Titans get the lead in the division for the time being.


Green Bay Packers at Washington Commanders

Winner: Green Bay Packers

Score: 27-17

Summary: The Packers look lost. Is this because Aaron Rodgers takes up a huge chunk of cap space and wonders why they don’t pay for elite weapons for him? That’s for you to decide. Either way, they’ll need to handle business against an undermanned Commanders team that has been pretty awful all year. They’ll likely just rely on their run game for the majority of this game, as I don’t think the Commanders will threaten much. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon will each score once and have a combined 200 yards of offense on the day, while the Commanders struggle to get much going. Brian Robinson will be a bright spot for the Commanders on the ground, as he scores the first touchdown of his career.


New York Jets at Denver Broncos

Winner: New York Jets

Score: 17-13

Summary: Finally, I don’t have to watch the Broncos in prime time. This offense is dead, and there are too many people to blame for the finger to be pointed at one person. I’m sure Broncos fans would like to point a different finger at plenty of people involved with this team, especially after the Jets come knocking. This Jets team is gritty, and they are 4-2 as a result. They have some quality wins and look like a team that can actually compete. They have a stout defense that will give the Broncos trouble all day long, and they will do just enough on offense to skate out of here with a win. Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson score for the Jets, while the lone touchdown for the Broncos comes from a Wilson pass to Jerry Jeudy.


Houston Texans at Las Vegas Raiders

Winner: Las Vegas Raiders

Scores: 31-17

Summary: I didn’t realize how bad the Raiders were until I looked at their record. Yikes. They have to be desperate for a win here, and I think the Texans are coming to town at just the right time. The Raiders hung in and probably would have beaten the Chiefs last week if not for some questionable play calling on the final drive that saw two receivers run into eachother on a 4th and 1 deep bomb on the edge of field goal range. A call that only Josh McDaniels is dumb enough to make. They will be more fortunate this week, as they get ahead and don’t look back. Derek Carr throws for 250 yards and 3 touchdowns, two of which go to possible future criminal Davante Adams. The Texans lone source of offense will be Dameon Pierce, who scores twice as his torrid rookie campaign keeps going. The Raiders save too much embarrassment and move to 2-4 in a much needed victory.


Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Chargers

Winner: Los Angeles Chargers

Score: 34-27

Summary: The Chargers barely escaped the Broncos last week as they continue to play inexcusable football based on the talent of their roster. They may be 4-2, but they surely don’t look like it. This should be a good game though between the ultimate underdogs in the Seahawks versus the struggling powerhouse of the Chargers. Geno Smith and Justin Herbert will give us a fair share of wild plays I’m sure, and we’ll see rookie Kenneth Walker battle Austin Ekeler on the ground. This could be a game of who touches the ball last, and I see it being the Chargers. Justin Herbert throws for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns in the win, while Geno throws for 2 touchdowns and Kenneth Walker gets one of his own in the close loss as the Seahawks fall to 3-4.


Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers

Winner: Kansas CIty Chiefs

Score: 35-23

Summary: Both of these teams suffered morale killing losses last week, one against a good team and the other… not so much. That doesn’t matter though, a loss is a loss and they’ll both be looking to get back in the win column this week. This should be a fun game, given it is a Super Bowl rematch from a few years ago that includes the same quarterback matchup. That QB matchup here will ultimately be the difference, as the Chiefs get up early and the lack of a serious passing attack from the 49ers keeps the comeback from happening. Mahomes throws for 300 yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jimmy Garappolo throws for 200 yards and a single score in the loss. The Chiefs rebound, while the 49ers fall back into the mosh pit of the very confusing and volatile NFC West.


Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins

Winner: Miami Dolphins

Score: 24-17

Summary: At the time of writing this, the Dolphins and Steelers starters at QB are currently unknown. I will be assuming we see the comeback of Tua this week though after a scary extended absence, as well as Kenny Pickett under center. This should be exactly what the doctor ordered for the Dolphins who have stumbled ever since he went down. The Steelers won’t make it easy though, as they proved they can play spoiler to anyone with last week’s win against the Buccaneers. This one should come down to the wire, but I don’t think the Steelers offense will be able to hang in there for all 60 minutes like they did last week. Kenny Pickett plays well with 200 yards and 2 touchdowns, while the Dolphins rejoice at Tua’s return as he throws for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns, two of which find Tyreek Hill. The Dolphins right the ship and move to 4-3, while the Steelers come back to reality with another loss to move them to 2-5.


Chicago Bears at New England Patriots

Winner: New England Patriots

Score: 28-16

Summary: I am getting really tired of the QB injury controversies of this week, as I now have to guess who is starting for each team under center, when I can barely guess the games themselves. For this game I see Bailey Zappe suiting up for the Patriots. The Bears don’t present the biggest threat, so there is no need to rush Mac Jones back, especially since Zappe has been playing quite well as the starter. I think this week will be more of the same, and the Bears will be locked in by a Patriots defense that will dare them to throw the ball. We know how poorly this Bears team throws the ball, so this should be a wire to wire win for Belicheck’s Patriots. Zappe throws for 250 yards and 2 touchdowns in the win, as the ground game also contributes quite a bit. Justin Fields struggles this week, throwing for 200 yards and more turnovers than scores. The Patriots keep rallying around their rookie QB, who looks like he wants to stir up some QB controversy, and the Bears continue their free fall to 2-5.

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